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Why the Redskins will have Orakpo play on the tag this year

Why the Redskins will have Orakpo play on the tag this year

Brian Orakpo signed his franchise tender this morning. He has until July 15 to work out a long-term contract with the Redskins. If he doesn’t, he will have to play the year making $11.45 million (every dime of it is now guaranteed) and become a free agent again in 2015.

It seems that the latter scenario is much more likely than a long-term deal. Jay Gruden said as much on Wednesday.

“We’d like to get him here for as many years as we can, but right now I wouldn’t mind letting him play out this franchise tag and see what happens,” Gruden said at the NFL owners meeting in Orlando. He’s a talented player. I think he can do a little bit better.”

So Gruden wants to see more out of Orakpo before giving him the big deal that every player wants. That’s a football reason to wait on locking up the team’s first-round pick in the 2009 draft. There are other reasons:

—Orakpo will be 28 shortly after the start of training camp. He is in excellent shape but, as we all know, Father Time is undefeated. Usually the bigger salaries in a five-year contract come in the later years, just when Orakpo turns 30. Although he could well still be productive, the Redskins would likely be paying him escalating salaries in a time when his skills are beginning to decline.

—Signing Orakpo for five years would almost certainly mean the end of Ryan Kerrigan as a Redskin after the 2015 season. This is the last year of his rookie deal and then the team will almost certainly exercise a one-year option that will keep him around through 2015 for a salary of about $5 million. Then he will be a free agent in 2016. You don’t have to be a master capologist to figure out that you can’t have two premium contracts at the same position without running into serious cap trouble. Kerrigan generally doesn’t post as many sacks as Orakpo but he has more big plays like touchdowns and forced on his resume. The team doesn’t want to be in the position of being forced to let Kerrigan, who will be entering his age 28 season in 2016, walk because are obligated to pay Orakpo who, as noted, will be turning 30.

—There is no indication that Orakpo's camp and the Redskins are anywhere close on money. There were reports that the two sides were not close when the tag was applied on March 10 and nothing has happened in the interim that would change that enough to let them "meet in the middle", as Orakpo said.

—They will have the option of tagging him again next year. If Orakpo rushes the passer more often, as both Gruden and Jim Haslett have promised he will, and gets, say, 15 sacks, his market value will skyrocket. But the Redskins know exactly what it will cost them to keep him in Washington for another year. It would be 120 percent of what he is making this year or about $13.75 million. That’s a fairly hefty salary cap hit but the cap is likely to increase by about $8-$10 million next year so it can be absorbed.

It’s easy to say, “pay the man” and you can argue that Orakpo “deserves” to get a long-term deal. But the way the NFL salary cap works, paying one man often means that you can’t pay another man. There are choices to be made and the Redskins may well choose to keep Orakpo around for only one or two more years.

 

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#RedskinsTalk Podcast Episode 40 - Seriously, when will the Redskins pick a coordinator?

#RedskinsTalk Podcast Episode 40 - Seriously, when will the Redskins pick a coordinator?

As the Redskins settle into the offseason without both an offensive and defensive coordinator, JP Finlay and Rich Tandler debate who will get the jobs, and when they will be announced. 

Related: NFL Mock Draft 1.0

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Redskins defensive coordinator resume: Jason Tarver

Redskins defensive coordinator resume: Jason Tarver

The Redskins have interviewed some high-profile candidates for their open defensive coordinator position. When it was reported that they will meet with former Raiders defensive coordinator Jason Tarver, the reaction among the fans was, “Who?”

Let’s take a look at what Tarver’s qualifications are to get the job of running the Redskins’ defense.

Before becoming a coordinator: At the age of 22, Tarver took a coaching job at West Valley College in California, and did that while earning his bachelor’s degree in biochemistry from Santa Clara. After that he was a graduate assistant at UCLA for three years before getting into the NFL in 2001, when the 49ers hired him as a quality control coach. Tarver worked his way up to outside linebackers coach in 2005 and did that job until 2010, when he was let go went Mike Singletary was fired as the head coach. After a year as the defensive coordinator at Stanford, Dennis Allen hired Tarver to run the Raiders defense in 2012.

More Redskins: Early first-round draft possibilities

Note: If you want more complete stats on Tarver’s defenses check out his page on Pro Football Reference. DVOA stats via Football Outsiders. A negative DVOA percentage is better than a positive number. Zero is average.

For players, * designates Pro Bowl selection, + designates first-team All-Pro

2012 Raiders (4-12)

Rankings: Yards 5,672 (18th), points 443 (28th), takeaways 19 (26th), 3rd down 39.1% (20th), DVOA 12.5% 29th
Notable players: DT Richard Seymour, DE Lamarr Houston

It should be noted that Allen had a defensive background so he had a hand in these numbers. This team just wasn’t very good as indicated by the fact that Seymour, at age 33, was one of their best defensive players.

2013 Raiders (4-12)

Rankings: Yards 5,918 (22nd), points 453 (29th), takeaways 22 (21st), 3rd down 43.1% (28th), DVOA 10.3% (26th)
Notable players: S Charles Woodson

They did make an effort to shore up the defense by bringing back Woodson and drafting cornerback D.J. Hayden in the first round. But Hayden only played in eight games and Woodson could only contribute so much at age 37. The pass defense struggled, ranking 29th in DVOA.

Related: Redskins offensive coordinator resume: Matt Cavanaugh

2014 Raiders (3-13)

Rankings: 5,721 (21st), points 452 (32nd), takeaways 14 (30th), 3rd down 38.5% (14th), DVOA 6.3% (26th)
Notable players: LB Khalil Mack, S Woodson

Allen was fired after an 0-4 start and Tony Sparano took over as interim head coach the rest of the way. Sparano has an offensive background so perhaps Tarver is more fully accountable for these results than those in other seasons. They did draft Mack with the fifth overall pick but his impact as a rookie was limited as recorded four sacks. Hayden again missed half of the season and, again, the defense was near the bottom of the NFL.

Stay up to date on the Redskins! Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page www.Facebook.com/RealRedskins and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.