Quick Links

Need to Know: Why is it highly unlikely that the Redskins will trade RG3?

Need to Know: Why is it highly unlikely that the Redskins will trade RG3?

Here is what you need to know on this Sunday, January 31, 24 days before the NFL Combine in Indianapolis.

Why it is highly unlikely that the Redskins will trade RG3

Why can’t the Redskins trade Robert Griffin III instead of just letting him go?

Many fans are asking that questions, wondering why the Redskins can’t get something, anything in return for the player on whom the team spent three first-round picks and a second to acquire just four years ago.

Technically, they can. But it won’t happen and here’s why.

Griffin is under contract with the Redskins for 2016 for $16.155 million. That is the fifth-year option on his rookie contract. It was guaranteed for injury up until he passed his exit physical after the season ended. It is not currently guaranteed but the guarantee will kick back in if he is still on the roster when the new league year begins on March 9. Keep that in mind.

Right now, rosters are frozen until the day after the Super Bowl. Griffin can be cut any time after that date and his salary will come off of the books.

So why not trade him and let him work out a contract with his new team instead of just cutting him? Because players can’t be traded can’t until the league year begins on March 9 and that’s the day his deal becomes guaranteed. No team is going to trade for Griffin along with a guaranteed contract like that.

Could they set something up in advance, give Griffin permission negotiate a new contract with another team, have him sign that deal, and then trade him to that team? Under the rules, yes. But it won’t happen because Griffin won’t want to make it happen on his end.

What is the incentive for Griffin to agree to a new contract to facilitate a trade? The outcome that is to his best advantage would be for him to get released and be able to talk to and negotiate a contract with any of the other 31 teams that might want a quarterback. There simply is no reason for him to limit his options like that. There is no upside for him in that scenario.

Griffin has the leverage here. He can simply wait it out and not answer phone calls originating from the 703 area code. As March 9 approaches, the Redskins will be faced with the choice of releasing him or getting stuck with a backup quarterback at a fully guaranteed $16.155 million salary, a cap hit that would severely hamper their ability to negotiate a new contract with the player they want at quarterback, Kirk Cousins. They will, of course, choose to let Griffin walk.

I suppose you can’t completely rule out anything. But all signs point to the Redskins letting Griffin go sometime between February 8 and March 9 and nothing that makes any sense will prevent that from happening.

Timeline

—The Redskins last played a game 21 days ago. It will be about 224 days until they play another one.

Days until: NFL Combine 24; NFL free agency starts 38; 2016 NFL draft 88

In case you missed it

Quick Links

#RedskinsTalk Podcast Episode 40 - Seriously, when will the Redskins pick a coordinator?

#RedskinsTalk Podcast Episode 40 - Seriously, when will the Redskins pick a coordinator?

As the Redskins settle into the offseason without both an offensive and defensive coordinator, JP Finlay and Rich Tandler debate who will get the jobs, and when they will be announced. 

RELATED: 2017 NFL MOCK DRAFT 1.0: CORNERING THE MARKET

Quick Links

Redskins defensive coordinator resume: Jason Tarver

Redskins defensive coordinator resume: Jason Tarver

The Redskins have interviewed some high-profile candidates for their open defensive coordinator position. When it was reported that they will meet with former Raiders defensive coordinator Jason Tarver, the reaction among the fans was, “Who?”

Let’s take a look at what Tarver’s qualifications are to get the job of running the Redskins’ defense.

Before becoming a coordinator: At the age of 22, Tarver took a coaching job at West Valley College in California, and did that while earning his bachelor’s degree in biochemistry from Santa Clara. After that he was a graduate assistant at UCLA for three years before getting into the NFL in 2001, when the 49ers hired him as a quality control coach. Tarver worked his way up to outside linebackers coach in 2005 and did that job until 2010, when he was let go went Mike Singletary was fired as the head coach. After a year as the defensive coordinator at Stanford, Dennis Allen hired Tarver to run the Raiders defense in 2012.

More Redskins: Early first-round draft possibilities

Note: If you want more complete stats on Tarver’s defenses check out his page on Pro Football Reference. DVOA stats via Football Outsiders. A negative DVOA percentage is better than a positive number. Zero is average.

For players, * designates Pro Bowl selection, + designates first-team All-Pro

2012 Raiders (4-12)

Rankings: Yards 5,672 (18th), points 443 (28th), takeaways 19 (26th), 3rd down 39.1% (20th), DVOA 12.5% 29th
Notable players: DT Richard Seymour, DE Lamarr Houston

It should be noted that Allen had a defensive background so he had a hand in these numbers. This team just wasn’t very good as indicated by the fact that Seymour, at age 33, was one of their best defensive players.

2013 Raiders (4-12)

Rankings: Yards 5,918 (22nd), points 453 (29th), takeaways 22 (21st), 3rd down 43.1% (28th), DVOA 10.3% (26th)
Notable players: S Charles Woodson

They did make an effort to shore up the defense by bringing back Woodson and drafting cornerback D.J. Hayden in the first round. But Hayden only played in eight games and Woodson could only contribute so much at age 37. The pass defense struggled, ranking 29th in DVOA.

Related: Redskins offensive coordinator resume: Matt Cavanaugh

2014 Raiders (3-13)

Rankings: 5,721 (21st), points 452 (32nd), takeaways 14 (30th), 3rd down 38.5% (14th), DVOA 6.3% (26th)
Notable players: LB Khalil Mack, S Woodson

Allen was fired after an 0-4 start and Tony Sparano took over as interim head coach the rest of the way. Sparano has an offensive background so perhaps Tarver is more fully accountable for these results than those in other seasons. They did draft Mack with the fifth overall pick but his impact as a rookie was limited as recorded four sacks. Hayden again missed half of the season and, again, the defense was near the bottom of the NFL.

Stay up to date on the Redskins! Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page www.Facebook.com/RealRedskins and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.