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Need to Know: Which Redskins stay and who goes?

Need to Know: Which Redskins stay and who goes?

Here is what you need to know on this Monday, January 13, 115 days from the NFL Draft.

Nickel coverage

Of the Redskins' 18 unrestricted free agents, five of them were originally drafted by the team. Here are my odds on the Redskins keeping them after free agency starts on March 11:

1. LB Perry Riley—With the Redskins likely to stay in a 3-4 defense they need Riley to take over for London Fletcher calling signals. Inside linebackers generally don’t cost that much and Riley is likely to be much more valuable to the Redskins than to any other team. Chances of returning: 95%

2. LB Brian Orakpo—It seems likely that the Redskins will make  a very fair offer to the player who has been at least tied for the team lead in sacks every season he’s played for them except for the one where he missed 14 games due to injury. There is a chance, however, that another team could come in and make an offer that is well above market price. The Redskins could lose him if that happens. Another option is the franchise tag but the team will have to decide if he’s worth right around $10 million for the 2014 season. Chances of returning 70%

3. LB Rob Jackson—He finally got a chance to play regularly when Brian Orakpo was injured in 2012 and he played well. In 2013, however, Orakpo was back and Jackson played only 186 snaps. Stability in the defensive staff may help him here. His lack of 2013 action might keep down his demand league wide but Jim Haslett and Raheem Morris could push to get a deal done with him based on 2012. This one is hard to gauge. Chances of returning 60%

4. S Reed Doughty—He started nine games last year and like most of the defense he had his ups and downs. The Redskins hope to get better performance at safety than the had in 2013 (better than have had for the last six years, for that matter) so they may want to move on from Doughty. But he is versatile and the team might want to hang on to him if for no other reason that he is one of the few good special teams performers on the roster. Chances of returning: 40%

5. TE Fred Davis—If Mike Shanahan had somehow stayed on as coach the chances of Davis, who wound up in Shanahan’s doghouse for much of the season, would be near zero. But perhaps Jay Gruden sees a player who he can pair with Jordan Reed to so some of the things he did with Jermaine Gresham and Tyler Eifert in Cincinnati (combined 85 receptions, 903 yards, 6 TDs). Davis coming back still doesn’t seem very likely to happen but, yes, I’m sayin’ there’s a chance. Chances of return 10%

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Timeline

—It’s been 15 days since the Redskins played a game; it will be about 237 days until they play another one.

—Days until: NFL Combine 37; NFL free agency 57; Offseason workouts start 84

In case you missed it

Do the Redskins have the players for a 3-4 defense

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Morgan Moses serves as latest reminder that some draft picks take time

Morgan Moses serves as latest reminder that some draft picks take time

In the lead-up to the 2014 NFL Draft, NFL.com labeled Morgan Moses a "developmental project," touting his size and ability to move but also saying the Virginia prospect's inconsistency and up-and-down effort forced some teams to shy away from him.

Other sites, meanwhile, pointed to Moses' high ceiling as well, but no one was quite sure where the lineman would be selected. Eventually, the Redskins took him in the third round, 66th overall.

His rookie year, though, was a disappointment. He didn't log much time with the Redskins and when he did, he looked lost (especially on this infamous Monday Night Football play). 

The next year, however, he seized the starting right tackle job and has started in every game since, at times looking dominant. And now, the 26-year-old has a new, expensive contract extension to celebrate, after the Redskins made him the second-highest paid right tackle in the league.

MORE REDSKINS: WILL MCCLOUGHAN ADVISING OTHER TEAMS AFFECT THE REDSKINS?

The timing of the extension — just hours before the 2017 NFL Draft — is what's especially fitting, because Moses is another prime example of how being patient and developing a middle round draft pick can really work out.

Many times, fans or analysts will use words like "project" or call a player "raw." In both instances, a negative tone is often used. With Moses, that was the case, and after his nondescript first season there wasn't a ton of hope surrounding him (remind you a bit of Josh Doctson?).

But the Redskins were committed to improving him and Moses was committed to improving, too. Now, Washington has a pair of massive and talented tackles on each end of their offensive line, and No. 76 is No. 2 in professional football when it comes to money at his position. Both parties are happy.

Therefore, if (and when) the Burgundy and Gold picks up a member or members of this year's class who bring with them phrases like, "He may need to sit and learn behind a veteran" or "He has some tools but has yet to put them together," just remember not to fret. It's tempting to grade draft hauls the moment after the event's conclusion, but the real stars sometimes don't emerge until a few years down the road.

RELATED: STEP INSIDE CSN'S DRAFT ROOM FOR SCOUTING REPORTS AND DRAFT VIDEOS

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Report: Redskins worked out Michigan defender Jabrill Peppers

Report: Redskins worked out Michigan defender Jabrill Peppers

The Redskins saved one of their final prospect workouts for one of the draft’s most interesting prospects.

According to NFL Media’s Mike Garofolo, team president Bruce Allen and a contingent of other scouts and coaches made a trip to Michigan this past weekend to work out Wolverines safety Jabrill Peppers. They also had dinner with Peppers after the workout.

RELATED: Final NFL Mock Draft

Peppers can best be described as a defensive weapon. During the combine he worked out with both the defensive backs and the linebackers. He played multiple roles at Michigan including taking snaps on offense.

Peppers’ “tweener” status has made him a controversial prospect. Some scouts, in fact, think that he’s better fit on offense than on defense. But it is safe to assume that the Redskins worked him out envisioning him playing defense, where most of their draft needs lie. His diluted sample for a combine drug test, which is considered a failed test, also has made some teams wonder about him.

The Redskins interest in Peppers doesn’t quite fit with their current draft position, which is with the No. 17 overall pick. He is considered to be a better value later in the first round. This could be an indication that the Redskins are preparing for the possibility that they will get a good offer to trade back, moving them into an area where picking Peppers (say that five time fast) would make sense.

MORE REDSKINS: Final Redskins mock: Defense goes 1-2, surprise in the third 

Some might say it wouldn’t make sense to take Peppers at any point. His skill are similar to those of Su’a Cravens, who was the team’s first-round draft pick last year. But the Redskins could find a way to use both if they are a bit creative. The Cardinals have two versatile pieces in their defense in Tyrann Mathieu and Deone Buchannon and they manage to make things work.

In any case, it should be noted that teams work out many players and draft just a few. Although the presence of Allen makes this more than just a typical workout session, we will see if things fall into place to have the Redskins be in a position where taking Peppers makes sense.

Stay up to date on the Redskins! Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerCSN and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.