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Need to Know: What are the chances of a winning season for the 2015 Redskins?

Need to Know: What are the chances of a winning season for the 2015 Redskins?

Here is what you need to know on this Sunday, July 19, 11 days before the Washington Redskins start training camp.

Nickel coverage

Tarik El-Bashir and I did an over/under series last week. After looking at possibilities for Robert Griffin III, Alfred Morris, and other individuals, we looked at team success and, specifically, wins. The format didn’t allow us to go into much detail about the reasoning behind our picks so I want to expand on my thinking a little bit.

The line for wins was 6.5 and I took the under. As of right now I have them at six wins on the nose. But there are other possibilities, of course. I’m going to take the mythical $100 in casino chips and place them on the possible win totals for the 2015 Redskins.

0-3 wins, $15—I don’t see them sliding back in the wins column but with the organization’s recent track record it would be foolish to completely dismiss the possibility. If they don’t play well in home games against the Rams and Bucs in the first half of the season, this scenario could be in play.

4-5 wins, $30—This team was outscored by 137 points in 2014. They could show some very real improvement and not have it show up much in the wins column. If the Redskins are better but suffer from some bad breaks they could spin their wheels in terms of wins.

6-8 wins, $45—This just seems to be their zone this year. It will take some time for upgrade in talent on defense and revamped offensive line to gel but they should be able to pick up some wins against a fairly soft schedule early and score an upset or two in the tougher November and December portion of the schedule.

9+ wins, $10—I spent a while with the last $5 chip in my hand, deciding whether I should put it on the most pessimistic end or here. The team’s track record over the last six seasons was the deciding factor in putting the other fiver on 0-3 wins. But if the defense can get it together sooner rather than later and if Robert Griffin III can stay upright and perform competently, things could be looking up. But I think that a winning record is unlikely before 2016.

Timeline

—Redskins left tackle Trent Williams was born on this day in 1988 (27 years old).

—It’s been 203 days since the Redskins played a game. It will be 56 days until they play the Dolphins at FedEx Field.

Days until: Redskins training camp starts 11; Preseason opener @ Browns 25; final cuts 48

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Peter King, Ian Rapoport say Redskins can't afford to let Kirk Cousins get away

Peter King, Ian Rapoport say Redskins can't afford to let Kirk Cousins get away

After he signed the franchise tag a couple of weeks ago, the speculation, rumors and, for some fans, panic around Kirk Cousins has largely quieted down.

The Redskins can ink their quarterback to a long-term deal any time between now and July 15, but talks may not pick up until summer rolls around. A trade can also occur, but no recent reports have indicated that one is in the works.

Therefore, it currently looks like Cousins and the franchise that drafted him back in 2012 will be together for at least one more season. And according to Sports Illustrated's Peter King, that's a wise choice by the Burgundy and Gold.

"I think they did the absolute right thing in making sure Kirk Cousins is gonna be their quarterback this year," King told CSN Redskins Insider JP Finlay at the NFL owner's meetings in Phoenix. "I absolutely, unequivocally would not trade him. That's a white flag." 

As for why King wouldn't move on from No. 8, his explanation was very simple.

"You don't get rid of a guy who's got the second-most passing yards in football over the last two years," he said.

MORE REDSKINS: WILL JAY GRUDEN'S ROLE IN DECISION-MAKING EXPAND THIS YEAR?

Finlay also gathered input on the Redskins' and Cousins' relationship from the NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, who's another major voice in the league's media. Rapoport first stated that he would be "beyond stunned" if the 28-year-old was not in D.C. for the 2017 campaign and then laid out how he envisions the year unfolding.

"I do not believe he will sign the extension before the season," he said. "So, he's going to go out there, play on another one-year deal, bet on himself like he did last year. You hope it's the same thing. And then we'll see, because I know there's some talk about him not signing an extension — I'm not so sure about that. Everyone has a price, right?"

"If they offer him $25 [million] a year, Andrew Luck's deal, I would imagine plans would change pretty quickly, right?" Rapoport continued. "So you get to the end of the season, assess where you are, assess the value and see if you can make a business deal. It's terrible to have to pay so much money to your quarterback. The only worse thing is not being able to pay so much money to your quarterback." 

King and Rapoport are clearly both in agreement that losing their rising signal caller would be a huge blow to the Redskins. But while King says Washington should keep Cousins because of his production, Rapoport took a different route when concluding how the negotiations will end up.

"Really good quarterbacks never leave their team. It just never happens," he said. "So I would think there's a way to work this out."

RELATED: PRESTON SMITH ENTERING VITAL YEAR

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Josh Doctson's short tweet delivers good news for Redskins

Josh Doctson's short tweet delivers good news for Redskins

Josh Doctson’s tweet left 136 characters on the table but he didn’t need any more to deliver some good news to Redskins fans.

The wide receiver was the Redskins’ top pick in the 2016 draft. At 6-2 and an ability to high point the ball he repeatedly demonstrated at TCU, it was hoped he would add a different dimension to the Redskins’ fast but relatively short receiving corps.

RELATED: NFL Mock Draft Version 6.0

But it didn’t happen. An Achilles tendon injury flared up during preseason activities and he was very limited in OTAs. He was on the PUP list during training camp and the preseason games. Doctson was on the 53-man roster to start the season but after 31 snaps and one reception in two games he was shut down for the season.

Jay Gruden was apparently frustrated by the injury and throughout the season he wasn’t sure when Doctson would be ready.

MORE REDSKINS: 3 takeaways from talking to Allen

But last month via social media Docston sent out some pictures of him doing some strenuous work at Redskins Park. It appears that he was in Tampa today working with Jon Gruden and some other Redskins. The tweet from Doctson came a short time after this picture from one of Terrelle Pryor’s social media accounts was posted.

It should be noted that doing work in shorts a T-shirts does not equal being effective in an NFL regular season game. But it’s a good first step and considering Doctson barely took any steps last year that’s a good development.

Stay up to date on the Redskins! Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerCSN and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.