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Need to Know: If the Redskins get an offer for Cousins should they trade him?

Need to Know: If the Redskins get an offer for Cousins should they trade him?

Here is what you need to know on this Thursday, April 16, 14 days before the Washington Redskins go on the clock at the NFL draft.

Should the Redskins trade Cousins if they get an offer?

I heard an interesting report from Kevin Sheehan on ESPN 980 yesterday. He said that there is a belief around Redskins Park that the team could get as much as a third-round pick for backup quarterback Kirk Cousins.

That would represent an increase in his value. Last year it was widely reported that the Browns offered a fourth-round pick for Cousins. The Redskins apparently wanted no worse than a second for him. The Browns would not up their offer and/or the Redskins would not lower their demand so no deal was made.

It appears that supply and demand may be driving Cousins’ value up. Last year there were three quarterbacks taken who appear to be their teams’ future at the position (Blake Bortles, Teddy Bridgewater, and Derek Carr) and another one who could hold that status (Zach Mettenberger). Plus there was Johnny Manziel, taken in the first round by the team that didn’t want to pay a second for Cousins.

This year the supply is lean. Jameis Winston is a character question mark, Marcus Mariota is a scheme question mark, and beyond those two there are projects. If a team needs a quarterback who can start this year or one that can serve as the primary backup, the trade market is likely to be a the way to go.

So, after a season where he played well at times but got a reputation for being a turnover machine, and one who didn’t react well after those turnovers, the short supply of quarterbacks in the draft could drive up the value of Cousins even though he has just one year left on his contract.

The question is, should the Redskins trade him? Are they better off with a third-round pick, Robert Griffin III as the starter, Colt McCoy as the backup, and a rookie or other inexperienced player as the third-string QB or with the status quo?

The answer depends on if Scot McCloughan and Jay Gruden believe that Cousins is a viable long-term starter for the Redskins if for whatever reasons they decide to let Griffin walk at the end of the year. If they don’t think he can be the starter, or at least a viable stopgap until they can find a franchise quarterback, then they absolutely have to hang on to him. A third-round pick isn’t worth it if they think there’s a chance Cousins could be the starter if Griffin falters.

But remember that Gruden buried Cousins on the bench the last half of the season. Perhaps he doesn’t believe the Cousins would be a good alternative to Griffin. In that case they should trade him for whatever they can get for him.

Timeline

—It’s been 109 days since the Redskins played a game. It will be about 150 days until they play another one.

Days until: Redskins offseason workouts start 4; 2015 NFL Draft 14; Redskins minicamp starts 61

If you have any questions about what's going on at Redskins Park, hit me up in the comments. And I'm always on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.

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In case you missed it

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Need to Know: Did the Redskins underachieve in 2016?

Need to Know: Did the Redskins underachieve in 2016?

Here is what you need to know on this Wednesday, January 18, 99 days before the NFL draft.

Timeline

Days until:
NFL franchise tag deadline 43
NFL free agency starts 51
First Sunday of 2017 season 236

The coordinator search and more

Did the Redskins underachieve this year? I know that a metric like Football Outsiders' DVOA is not the final word in the quality of a team but looking at it year after year it usually does work out that the teams with the better numbers in DVOA usually win more games than those with worse numbers. The Redskins finished 2016 eighth in DVOA. Considering that 12 teams make the playoffs, that could be considered a playoff quality team. Yet 15 teams finished with a better record than they did. I’m sure there are some holes in the formula for the stat but just looking at that it sure appears that the Redskins did leave some wins out on the field.

John Keim is reporting that the Redskins are prepared to switch to a 4-3 defense if that is what their new defensive coordinator prefers. They have been in the 3-4 since Mike Shanahan arrived in 2010. Whether it is because of the scheme or lack of draft and free agent resources spent on the line and at safety, the defense hasn’t been very good. As Keim notes, they will need to make some personnel changes if they do change but with a full load of draft picks and $62 million in cap space this may be the time to do it.

I expected the angst that was all over Twitter when word of the Rob Ryan interview got out. But it’s pretty dumb to get all worked up over an interview (with all due respect to readers here who may have been upset). It’s not a hiring. Look, somehow or another Ryan managed to stay employed as an NFL defensive coordinator for 12 straight seasons. I don’t know how to research it without going through some very time consuming and tedious steps but I’d be willing to bet that only about a few dozen men in the history of the league have been able to remain a defensive coordinator for that many season in a row. The organization can learn something from sitting down and talking to him for a few hours.

I understand that we want things to talk about in a relatively slow time. But I just don’t see why there is fear out there over the possibility that Kyle Shanahan will get hired as the coach of the 49ers and somehow steal Kirk Cousins away to be his quarterback. The Redskins can maintain his rights via the franchise tag. They could tag Cousins and trade him to the 49ers but there would be a heavy price in terms of draft picks. But while it’s possible, it’s unlikely. The chances are very, very good that Cousins will be in a Redskins uniform this year via either the tag or a long-term deal. 

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Stay up to date on the Redskins! Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page www.Facebook.com/RealRedskins and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.

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#RedskinsTalk Podcast Episode 40 - Seriously, when will the Redskins pick a coordinator?

#RedskinsTalk Podcast Episode 40 - Seriously, when will the Redskins pick a coordinator?

As the Redskins settle into the offseason without both an offensive and defensive coordinator, JP Finlay and Rich Tandler debate who will get the jobs, and when they will be announced. 

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