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Need to Know: How will the Giants defend RG3 and the read option?

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Need to Know: How will the Giants defend RG3 and the read option?

Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, November 30, one day before the Redskins host the New York Giants.

What they’re saying

Here is a look at what various analysts around the web are saying about Sunday’s Redskins-Giants game.

The guys at PFT are again unanimous
Michael David Smith: “In the race for last place in the NFC East, I think Washington will get to the bottom with another poor showing from Robert Griffin III, who turns the ball over far too often and will do so a couple times against the Giants.” Redskins 21, Giants 10 Florio: “From winning their final seven after starting 3-6 last year, these Redskins could do the opposite, starting at 3-6 and ending at 3-13.” Giants 24, Redskins 13
Comment: Predictions of a dumpster fire in DC will continue until the team wins a game or two.

Invoking McNabb
Mike Tanier on Sports on Earth says Giants 28, Redskins 21: “Many miles away, something crawls through the slime of a dark New Jersey lake. It's Donovan McNabb. THIS IS WHAT I TRIED TO WARN YOU ABOUT, he mouths noiselessly. Griffin does not have to take McNabb's phone calls, but he has no choice but to take his medicine. Television wants to see Griffin fail in Prime Time. Sunday night offers a chance to defy the narrative, but the Redskins supporting cast doesn't have it in them.”
Comment: After lamenting the lack of a flag on the low blow that Aldon Smith delivered to RG3, Tanier delivers one that also stings by brining up McNabb’s “I told you so” possibilities.

Andy Benoit on MMQB wonders if the Giants try to take away the read option:
Will the Giants do anything special to defend the read-option? They didn’t against Terrelle Pryor’s Raiders a few weeks ago, though that may have been because Pryor was battling a bum knee. But the Giants also didn’t do anything special against the read-option in their two meetings with Washington last season. RG3 gashed them for 89 yards on nine carries in the first matchup, and 72 yards on five carries in the second (granted, not all of those runs were read-options). Griffin hasn’t run the read-option nearly as much this season, but that might change Sunday night given all the evidence suggesting that New York won’t deliberately try to take it away.
Comment: I have to think they will test the Giants’ read option defense in the early going.

ESPN going Big Blue

At least here, in ESPN’s analyst picks, you can find someone who thinks the Redskins will pull off the win. Mike and Mike both pick the Redskins to win. Only half of that group belongs to the morning radio duo. Mike Golic picks the Redskins along with Mike Ditka.

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Stat of the day

—In 2012 the Redskins gained 6.2 yards per play and gave up 5.9, an advantage of 0.3 yards. This year they have gained 5.6 and given up 6.0, a disadvantage of 0.4 yards per.

Timeline

—Days until: Giants @ Redskins 1; Chiefs @ Redskins 8; Redskins @ Falcons 15

—Today’s schedule: No availability

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Need to Know: Redskins’ Friday draft picks could be just as vital to success as first-rounder

Need to Know: Redskins’ Friday draft picks could be just as vital to success as first-rounder

Here is what you need to know on this Sunday, April 23, four days before the April 27 NFL draft.

Timeline

Days until:

—Redskins rookie camp (5/12) 10
—Redskins OTAs start (5/24) 31
—Training camp starts (7/27) 95
—Redskins opener vs. Eagles (9/10) 140

In search of someone, anyone, to stop the run

One of the areas the Redskins needed to improve last year was their rushing defense on first down. In 2015, they gave up 5.0 yards per carry on first down. That was the worst performance in the league. It’s pretty tough to play defense when a handoff makes it second and five. The Saints, who had a historically bad defense that year, were second, fiving up 4.8 yards a pop.

Well, it was no better for the Redskins defense in 2016. Again, they gave up 5.0 yards per carry on first down, again the worst performance in the league.  Remember, this is on first down, when teams are most likely to run.

The Redskins’ problems on third down were well known. They were dead last in the league allowing first downs on 46.6 percent of third-down attempts. For context, an average performance on third down is allowing about 38 percent and the best teams are around 35 percent.

That doesn’t tell the whole story, however. The Redskins weren’t very good at getting teams to third down. They allowed first downs on 33.8 percent of their opponents’ second-down plays. That put them in the bottom third of the league. Again, you don’t have to look too hard to connect the dots to link that back to the five yards per rushing play on first down. Second and five is a piece of cake most of the time.

You don’t need an advanced degree in statistical analysis to figure out that the Redskins defense isn’t going to get much better if they can’t stop teams from running the ball on first down.

It’s easy to point to the defensive line, which has not been very good, and say that the problem is there. That certainly has something to do with it. But the Redskins didn’t have a very good D-line in 2014 and they allowed 4.1 yards per first-down rushing attempt, a performance that was right at the league average.

The factor that was common in 2015 and 2016 and was different in 2014 was the defensive coordinator. It’s possible that opposing teams found a flaw to exploit in Joe Barry’s scheme that wasn’t there in Jim Haslett’s (which surely had flaws in other places).

But X’s and O’s can only get you so far. The Redskins will be looking to take a defensive lineman early and perhaps use an additional pick or two at the position later in the draft. While getting one who can rush the passer would be a plus, they need a run stuffer who can take snaps on first down and bottle up the ground game.

The focus in the draft will be on the first-round pick but, as has been discussed here many times, that pick is unlikely to be a defensive lineman. There isn’t likely to be one at 17 who would represent good value. That could mean that the Redskins’ second- or third-round pick, perhaps an interior lineman like Caleb Brantley of Florida, Larry Ogunjobi of Charlotte, or Montravius Adams of Auburn, is just as important to the team’s success as the first-round pick.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerCSN and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.

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Need to Know: The Redskins week that was—Mock drafts, cap bargains

Need to Know: The Redskins week that was—Mock drafts, cap bargains

Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, April 22, five days before the April 27 NFL draft.

Timeline

Days until:

—Redskins rookie camp (5/12) 20
—Redskins OTAs start (5/24) 32
—Training camp starts (7/27) 96
—Redskins opener vs. Eagles (9/10) 141

The Redskins week that was

Redskins full 2017 schedule released—Even with the Caps and Wizards in full playoff mode, the DMV stops to take a look and see when the Redskins will be playing. The Thanksgiving game was surprising. It’s another working day but I worked at various places since I was 14 and last year was the first time I’ve had to work on Thanksgiving so I can’t complain too much about working two in a row. It’s a small price to pay for having the best job in the world.

Don't count out any RB for Redskins at 17—Yeah, I know that NFL teams aren’t supposed to take running backs in the first round any more. But that is one of those trends that comes and goes. In 2013 and 2014 there were no RBs taken in the first. Todd Gurley and Ezekiel Elliott in the last couple of years began to shift the thinking. If the Redskins think that Dalvin Cook or Christian McCaffrey can help them win games more than any other player on the board they should pull the trigger.

Rise of Patrick Mahomes could bring big payoff for Redskins—It seems likely that quarterbacks Deshaun Watson and Mitchell Trubisky will be taken before the Redskins pick at No. 17 goes on the clock. That means that two players in whom the Redskins might be interested will be available, pushed back by the quarter backs. Could Mahomes, out of Texas Tech, push a third player back to Washington. The buzz is that a team might grab him in the first half of the first round.

The Redskins' five best salary cap bargains for 2017—When I started pulling the numbers for this post I thought I’d find more key players with salaries of under $1 million. I only found three and one of them is the kicker. This means that they don’t have very many late-round or undrafted players who are contributing a lot of value. They need more out of players like Anthony Lanier, Matt Ioannidis and Maurice Harris. That is how a team thrives in the salary cap era. A couple of Saturday picks could make or break this draft.

Redskins mock 2.0 goes offense early, defense often—There are a lot of ways the first 16 picks of this draft can work out. It seems almost certain that everyone’s favorite first-round pick, a stud defensive lineman, won’t be a realistic option on the board. This could send things in an odd direction for the Redskins. It’s fun to do a mock and I’ll do one or two more prior to draft day but there are too many variables to think that it has a high degree of accuracy. 

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerCSN and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.

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