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Need to Know: High-scoring performances tough for Redskins to repeat

Need to Know: High-scoring performances tough for Redskins to repeat

Here is what you need to know on this Sunday, October 27, the day the Washington Redskins play the Broncos in Denver.

Don't look for momentum to help Redskins

The Redskins scored 45 points against the Bears last Sunday, their highest point total since Robert Griffin III came to town at the start of last season. Their previous high was 40 on the 2012 season opener against the Saints.

It seems likely that the Redskins are going to need to have another high-scoring game today if they are going to hang with the Broncos. Denver is averaging 42 points per game this season and a shootout is likely to be the order of the day.

But the relatively brief history of Griffin in Washington suggests that putting up another big score will be difficult to accomplish.

Last year the Redskins followed up that 40-point effort by posting 28 points in St. Louis. That was a respectable point total but it wasn’t enough to be the Rams that day and it almost certainly won’t be enough to compete with the Broncos today.

The Redskins scored over 35 points three other times last year and each time they weren’t quite as sharp the next time out. In Week 6 they scored 38 to beat the Vikings but only put up 23 in a loss to the Giants their next time out. They beat the Cowboys 38-31 on Thanksgiving but scored only 17 their next game (it was enough to beat the Giants 17-16). And Kirk Cousins led to the way to 38 points vs. the Browns and a still-hobbling Griffin returned the next week and Washington won 27-20 in Philadelphia.

This brief history doesn’t mean that it’s impossible for the Redskins to put up enough points to stay competitive today. The point is that the NFL is a week-to-week proposition and the notion that the Redskins will have any amount of offensive “momentum” to sustain them at all this week is probably more wishful thinking than serious analysis.

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In case you missed it

Sunday 10.20

Monday 10.21

Tuesday 10.22

Thursday 10.24

Friday 10.25

Saturday 10.26

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Pierre-Paul injury a big loss for Redskins' playoff rival

Pierre-Paul injury a big loss for Redskins' playoff rival

When you’re fighting for a playoff spot, it’s not only about what happens to you. It’s also about what happens to the teams you’re competing against for that playoff spot. And one of the Redskins’ main competitors got some very bad news this morning.

The Giants, who are in the No. 5 spot in the NFC, the first wild card spot, got word today that defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul has had sports hernia surgery. The recovery time is at least four weeks, probably more like six. The Giants’ season is likely to be over by the time six weeks elapse, barring a playoff run without one of their best defensive players.

Pierre-Paul has helped solidify what was a shaky Giants defense last year. He has seven sacks and a fumble recovery returned for a touchdown. He has been heating up down the stretch with 5.5 sacks in his last three games.

His loss is a big blow for the Giants. They are a game ahead of the Buccaneers, who hold the No. 6 spot, and a game and a half ahead of the Redskins, who are currently seventh.

The Redskins play New York in Week 17 so the Redskins have to pick up just one game on the Giants over the next three to have a shot at passing them in the season finale.

The chances of that happening looked pretty good with Washington playing playing three teams with losing records in the Eagles, Panthers, and Bears and the Giants going against division leaders Dallas and Detroit in addition to the Eagles. With the Giants now without Pierre-Paul, the Redskins’ probabilities got tilted in their direction a little bit more.

Just finishing ahead of the Giants wouldn’t guarantee a playoff spot but it would come close. It would mean that the Redskins would have at least nine wins and the Redskins’ tie means that two teams would have to get to 10 wins to knock them out of the playoffs. The Bucs have to win three more games to get to nine wins and the Packers and Vikings would have to run the table.

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Redskins Stat Breakdown: What worked — and what didn't — against Arizona

Redskins Stat Breakdown: What worked — and what didn't — against Arizona

CSN has teamed up with The Edge Systems to provide the occasional statistical review of Redskins game film. The Edge is analytical football software currently being used by coaches in the NFL, SEC, ACC and the media, providing some of the fastest and best data in football.

Below is a breakdown of the Redskins run game against Arizona - a game coach Jay Gruden admitted did not feature enough carries for Robert Kelley. 

The Redskins had a lot of success with their GAP runs early in the game.

In the first half they were successful on 75 percent of their GAP runs. 

As the game wore on the Redskins moved away from what had been successful and only ran two GAP runs in the second half.

As the Redskins power run game vanished, so did their prospects for winning the game.

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