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Need to Know: Five Redskins who could have breakout seasons

Need to Know: Five Redskins who could have breakout seasons

Here is what you need to know on this Thursday, July 21, 7 days before the Washington Redskins start training camp.

Nickel coverage

With the start of training camp a week away, much of the focus is on the newcomers to the Redskins’ roster. But let’s take a look at some players who were around last year but have a chance to break out and perform at a high level in 2015.

DE Chris Baker—This could be a rare case of a player getting moved out of the starting lineup but having his impact grow. The acquisitions of Terrance Knighton and Stephen Paea will have Baker starting most games on the bench after he started 12 games last year. But he should still play something close to the 500 snaps he played last year. Joe Barry’s defensive scheme features linemen attacking gaps rather than containing them much of the time. This suits Baker’s style of play much better than a two-gap system.

LG Shawn Lauvao—Just like the one gap will help Baker, power blocking will help Lauvao. That's the scheme he played for four years in Cleveland before coming to the Redskins. He also needs to upgrade his pass protection skills, something that Bill Callahan should be able to help him with. This is probably a make or break year for Lauvao, who is slated to see a salary increase to $4 million next year. If he doesn’t break out this year the Redskins could well go younger and cheaper at right guard in 2016.

CB David Amerson—Was last year a look at the real Amerson or was it just a sophomore slump? I think it’s the latter. The word is that he is taking preparation much more seriously this year and he has the physical tools to be a good cornerback. He will have to battle DeAngelo Hall for playing time but if he spends enough time in the film room he will find his way onto the field.

RB Chris Thompson—There is no doubt that the coaches are intrigued by his speed. They are also wary of his history of problems with staying on the field, stretching back to his days at Florida State. If he stays healthy he will get plenty of chances to show he can be a home run threat. For all the talk of Matt Jones serving as the third-down back Thompson is much more the prototype for that role. He could be all or nothing. If he stays healthy, he should have an impact. If not, the team will gladly keep Silas Redd and Thompson's future would be in doubt.

TE Jordan Reed—He already broke out once, with 45 receptions for 499 yards in nine games as a rookie. Than the injuries hit and he has been struggling to stay on the field and be productive when he is in the lineup. If he learns how to stay healthy—and that is something that can be learned—he become a go-to weapon in the Redskins offense. As with Thompson, it’s all about staying on the field.

Timeline

—It’s been 207 days since the Redskins played a game. It will be 52 days until they play the Dolphins at FedEx Field.

Days until: Redskins training camp starts 7; Preseason opener @ Browns 21; final cuts 44

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Over/under: Redskins running backs in 2017

Over/under: Redskins running backs in 2017

Redskins running backs over-under

The Redskins’ running backs depth chart looks quite different from how it did a year ago. Rob Kelley, who was “ninth-string” back last year per Jay Gruden, is the starter. Samaje Perine enters the mix with expectations that exceed those normally assigned to a fourth-round pick. Chris Thompson is the constant as the third-down back. What kind of numbers will they put up this year? Redskins Insiders Rich Tandler and JP Finlay go over-under on some Redskins running back stats. 

Rob Kelley, 1,000 rushing yards

Tandler: If you project Kelley’s production in the nine games he started over 16 games it comes to about 1,050 yards. He had his ups and downs in those nine starts and he will have them this year. But he should have enough ups to be able to average the 62.5 yards per game needed to hit the thousand-yard mark. Over

Finlay: Unlike wide receivers, where 25 guys broke the 1,000 yard mark in 2016, it's getting harder and harder for a running back to hit four-figures. In 2016, only 12 RBs ran for more than 1,000 yards, and only eight got over 1,100 yards. As the NFL becomes more and more of a passing league, less backs are getting the carries sufficient for a 1,000 yard season. The Redskins haven't had a 1,000 yard rusher since Alfred Morris in 2014. While I think Kelley gets the bulk of the yardage, I think it caps out about 900 yards and Chris Thompson and Samaje Perine creep into the total. Under

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Kelley, 10 rushing touchdowns

Tandler: He scored six as the starter last year and doing the math that comes to 11 over 16 games. But last year there wasn’t a player like Perine, who could come into the game and vulture some touchdowns after Kelley did the work to get the ball in goal to go position. Under

Finlay: Sorry to keep going back to stats, but last year only seven running backs got to 10 TDs or more. Only seven! Hard to see Kelley getting there on a team that didn't run all that much, or all that well either, in 2016. Under

Samaje Perine, 500 rushing yards

Tandler: It tough to set a line for a guy who hasn’t played. I’ll go off Matt Jones’ 2015 rookie season when he gained 490 yards while sharing time with Alfred Morris. If Perine averages four yards per carry, which is not hard to do, he’ll need about eight carries per game to get to 500. It’s close but if Kelley is effective, as I believe he will be, Perine might not get enough carries to have a chance. Under

Finlay: Tandler's Matt Jones comp pretty much works for Perine, but Jones had explosive speed that Perine doesn't have. A better comp for me was Derrick Henry last year as a rookie with the Titans. DeMarco Murray was established as the top dog, and Henry worked for a productive 490 yards. Under

MORE REDSKINS: Offer to Cousins not nearly enough

Chris Thompson, 60 pass receptions

Tandler: His role is beyond just third down. If the Redskins are behind in the fourth quarter, Thompson is usually in there to try to help spark a rally. Along with TE Jordan Reed and WR Jamison Crowder, Thompson will benefit from Kirk Cousins’ familiarity with him. Over

Finlay: Thompson should be a strong contributor in 2017, but 60 catches is a lot for a running back. Only David Johnson (80) and Le'Veon Bell (75) went over that number in 2016, while James White had exactly 60 catches. Thompson grabbed 49 balls in 2016, an impressive total. I could actually see Thompson getting a bigger percentage increase in carries, he had 68 rushes last season with a very solid 5.2 YPC, than catches. Under

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Want more Redskins? Check out @JPFinlayCSN and @Rich_TandlerCSN for live updates or click here for the #RedskinsTalk Podcast on iTunes, here for Google Play or press play below. Don't forget to subscribe!

ROSTER BATTLES: Left guard | Tight end Nickel cornerback  | Inside linebacker | Running back

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#RedskinsTalk Podcast: Final refresh before 2017 season truly begins

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#RedskinsTalk Podcast: Final refresh before 2017 season truly begins

Rich Tandler and JP Finlay wrap up the Redskins offseason and prepare for what will be the most intriguing and the most overplayed storylines at training camp in Richmond.

<<<NFL POWER RANKINGS: WHO GOT BETTER AFTER THE DRAFT>>>

Want more Redskins? Click here to follow JP on Facebook and check out @JPFinlayCSN for live updates via Twitter! Click here for the #RedskinsTalk on Apple Podcasts, here for Google Play or press play below. Don't forget to subscribe!

ROSTER BATTLES: Left guard | Tight end Nickel cornerback  | Inside linebacker | Running back