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Need to Know: Five final thoughts on Redskins vs. Rams

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Need to Know: Five final thoughts on Redskins vs. Rams

Here is what you need to know on this Sunday, September 40, the day the Washington Redskins host the St. Louis Rams.

Five final thoughts on Redskins vs. Rams

—Although Jordan Reed is listed as questionable, technically meaning that there is a 50-50 chance that he will play, I would say there is an 80 percent chance that he will suit up. Not only does his team need him given how thin the tight end situation is and that they already are missing one passing threat in DeSean Jackson, but he needs to play for the sake of his own reputation. If he is going to shake his well-deserved reputation for being, well, let's say it, soft, he needs to get out there. Reed may be hampered somewhat but he should be out there.

—The Rams’ defensive front is getting a lot of attention for the six sacks they got against the Seahawks. But Seattle did run against them some, picking up 125 yards on 32 carries. The Redskins probably need more rushing yards than that to have a chance and they will only accomplish that if they stick with the run.

—One reason the Rams got six sacks was that Russell Wilson dropped back to pass 47 times in a game that his team trailed by more than one score for just less than seven minutes. If Kirk Cousins drops back anywhere near 50 times the Redskins likely are doomed. He should keep it closer to the 32 he had against the Dolphins. If that happens it could be another game down to the wire.

—I think that the Redskins defender who has the best chance of getting multiple sacks is Jason Hatcher. He had a good game last week with a sack, four tackles, and a pass defensed. The veteran will line up against Rodger Saffold, one of the more experienced members on a young line. The best way to pressure Nick Foles is up the middle and Hatcher should have some success.

—Neither Joe Barry nor Jay Gruden was forthcoming with information on how the cornerbacks will line up with Bashaud Breeland back and Chris Culliver taking his place on the suspended list for a week. Justin Rogers, who was the nickel corner last week, also is out with a foot injury. I think we’ll see DeAngelo Hall and Breeland starting. In nickel situations it should be Breeland moving into the slot and David Amerson covering outside. The just-acquired Will Blackmon will come in in dime situations.

Timeline

Today’s schedule: Rams @ Redskins, 1 p.m., FedEx Field, FOX

Days until: Redskins @ Giants Thursday night 4; Eagles @ Redskins 14; Redskins @ Falcons 21

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How big a need do the Redskins have at running back?

How big a need do the Redskins have at running back?

Do the Redskins have a draft need at running back? It depends on who you ask.

Jay Gruden seems to be very happy with incumbent running back Rob Kelley. Here is what he had to say last month about the second-year back, signed as an undrafted free agent out of Tulane, last month:

“Oh, man, I love Rob Kelley,” Gruden said. “I thought he played great. You throw a rookie free agent into the fire like that and see him play and compete. Not one time did I feel like it was too big for him. Not once. That’s a hell of a thing to say for a kid out of Tulane who only had a couple of carries his senior year. He came right in, he competes on every play.”

Kelley played in 15 games last year and rushed for 704 yards and scored six touchdowns. He started the last nine games and if you project his numbers in this games out over a 16-game season you get about 1,050 yards and 11 touchdowns. That’s not Ezekiel Elliott or Le’Veon Bell production but it’s good for a team that is going to rely mostly on the pass.

Gruden also praised third-down back Chris Thompson and backup Mack Brown. In a telling sign, he acknowledged that 2015 third-round pick Matt Jones is still on the roster but he didn’t have much good to say about him.

Why, then, do you see so many draft analysts listing running back as one of the team’s most urgent needs? Mark Maske, who is the Post’s national NFL writer but also a former Redskins beat reporter, has them taking Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey in his mock draft. “There certainly are issues on defense for the Redskins,” writes Maske. But there also is a need at running back.”

Lance Zierlein of NFL.com said that the Redskins “obviously” need a running back as his rationale for mocking Florida State’s Dalvin Cook to Washington at No. 17.

So, what is it? Is Kelley adequate for the Redskins’ needs considering they call pass plays on over 60 percent of their offensive snaps? Would they run more often if they had a back like McCaffrey or Cook? And if they did run more would the offense improve?

I think that running back is like several positions with the Redskins. If they have to get through the 2016 season with what they have they will be OK. But if there is an upgrade on the board when they are on the clock they won’t hesitate to make the pick if he’s the best player available.

We will see what happens if, say, McCaffrey is still on the board when the Redskins pick at No. 17 and top defensive targets like Rueben Foster and Haason Reddick are off the board. That will be the true test to see how committed Gruden and the rest of the organization are to Kelley, Thompson, and company. 

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When talent is there, Bruce Allen has looked past red flags in 1st round of NFL Draft

When talent is there, Bruce Allen has looked past red flags in 1st round of NFL Draft

A four-time Pro Bowler and Super Bowl champ, Aqib Talib has a long and checkered past, which includes multiple arrests and failed PED and drug tests. The problems aren't new either, the talented cornerback was first arrested as a high school student. In college at Kansas, Talib was suspended multiple times and had multiple positive tests for marijuana use. 

Why does this matter for Redskins fans on the eve of the NFL Draft?

Despite all the trouble, Bruce Allen drafted Talib 20th overall in 2008 when the current Redskins general manager was in the same role for Tampa. While Talib's legal troubles and suspensions continued in the NFL, he also proved to be a highly capable cornerback in the pro game. 

The lesson for those trying to determine the Redskins draft board: Allen might be willing to look past red flags if a player presents good value. Talib did in 2008, and there could be opportunities for Washington in 2017.

Reuben Foster jumps to mind, as the talented Alabama linebacker will enter the league in the substance abuse program. While Foster's issues pale in comparison to other allegations about some draft prospects, players like Joe Mixon, Gareon Conley and Caleb Brantley will also present unique circumstances for NFL teams to evaluate. 

GMs are thrust into the unenviable task of determining a player's character, often in short periods of time. As 'Skins director of college scouting Scott Campbell explained, the team grades every player for their football skills first, and only later adds in character information. From Campbell's comments:

When you start to evaluate guys in the beginning, you don’t factor in the character. You don’t grade character, you grade talent. So you don’t throw away somebody early that may have some redeeming quality, or there’s a side to the story you don’t know about. You grade football players as football players first on talent, and then when it comes closer to the draft, you start weeding all that, getting more information, deciding, ‘OK, this guy’s not our kind of guy, this guy’s not a Redskin, this guy could be drafted, but good luck to him.

Thursday night the Redskins will be forced to make a determination on the right player for the team. That decision could include judging a player's character, and that could mean balancing legal or substance abuse troubles with talent and ability.

Talib is only one pick in Allen's long personnel career, but it's one worth noting. 

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