Washington Redskins

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Bold Predictions Part 2--Survive and Advance

Bold Predictions Part 2--Survive and Advance

You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net
Let’s get some facts straight here.

First, it’s a fact that Mike Alstott did not get over the goal line before he was down by contact on the Bucs’ two-point conversion attempt that won the Week 10 meeting between the Redskins and the Bucs. You can review the indisputable visual evidence presented here at the time, but everybody knows that the referees erred both in the original call and in their failure to reverse it after reviewing it on replay.

It is not a fact, however, that the Redskins would have won the division and gained a first-round bye had the play been called correctly. We know how the rest of that game would have unfolded—the Redskins recover the onside kick and kneel down a couple of times to take the game.

Had the Redskins received the “W” that they earned in that game, however, we don’t know how that would have affected the dynamic of the rest of the season. Had they moved to 6-3, the sense of determined desperation that has marked the last five games likely would have been absent. Maybe they would have lost their focus and dropped that game to the Cardinals in the desert or perhaps they wouldn’t have come out quite as fired up for the Giants game. They may have wound up 11-5, but they also could have wound up 10-6 or 9-7 or something else. And even if they had finished at 11-5, the Bears would likely have put more effort into their season finale against the Vikings and Chicago would have taken the #2 seed anyway. While it’s possible that the Tampa loss cost the Redskins a home game or even a bye, it’s not a fact.

Regardless of all that, it’s a fact that the Redskins are where they are and that’s at Tampa Bay again on Saturday. As the sixth seed, the Redskins are supposed to have the toughest draw in the first round of the playoffs. Instead, they could not have handpicked a better opponent.

Chris Simms had the day of his brief NFL career the first time the teams played. He threw for 3 touchdowns and no interceptions with a gaudy QB rating of 119.8. He wasn’t sacked; for that matter, he barely even hit.

It will be different this time around.

First of all, the Redskins defense was without Cornelius Griffin and Sean Taylor the last time the two teams met. The absence of the former had a lot to do with the zero sacks, while Taylor certainly would have helped in coverage. Yes, Shawn Springs is likely to miss the game but Carlos Rogers is back and a starting cornerback tandem of Rogers and Walt Harris is decent enough to get the job done.

The Redskins have something that might be just as valuable as the two players who are back—film. That Week 10 contest was just Simms’ third NFL career start. The Redskins didn’t have much to go on when it came to breaking down his tendencies and finding his weaknesses.

Washington now not only has film to work with, they have film of him being successful against the very defense that he’ll be facing on Saturday. From Simms’ point of view, there is no reason to change a thing. A quarterback making his first playoff start certainly is going to have the “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” mentality. He will be very fortunate if his rating is half of what it was the first time.

Cadillac Williams won’t beat them either. Tiki and LT ran against the Redskins this year and Tatum Bell popped a couple of long ones. Nobody else, not Alexander, not Jones (Thomas or Julius), not Jordan, not Westbrook, not Tiki the second time around, ran on the Skins. Cadillac won’t either, and that will worsen Simms’ problems.

On the other side of the ball, the Redskins will face the league’s #1 defense and this is where the game will be decided. Certainly, the same theory that applies to the Redskins defense having film on Simms applies to Tampa Bay having a good bead on what the Redskins will do as they put up 35 points last game. The Redskins will have to beat them physically and that is a very tall order.

It’s a tall order, but not an impossible feat. It took the Redskins a half to find out that the way to deal with Simeon Rice is to run right at him and they’ll employ that tactic from the beginning this time around. The tried and true formula of the run setting up the pass will let Santana Moss get open. That won’t happen often, mind you, but it will happen just enough. With the defense doing its part against Simms and company, it won’t take much.

It won’t be pretty and it won’t be for the faint of heart, but the Redskins will survive and advance.

Washington 17, Tampa Bay 13

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2017 Fantasy Football: Top 175 players

2017 Fantasy Football: Top 175 players

With NFL teams starting training camps in preparation for the 2017 season, seemed like a good time to break out an updated rankings list for the upcoming fantasy football season. This list is straight to the point. The top 175 players in order. Cardinals running back David Johnson starts things off with all kinds of running backs, wide receivers, tight ends and defenses in between before we reach Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski.

  • There’s a top tier with four players. That’s contingent on Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott avoiding suspension. From the sound of things, that might fall under the category of dreaming. The dynamic Johnson is the top overall option, but the Pittsburgh pair of Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown have their backers.

 

  • Jordan Reed came in fourth among tight ends even before Wednesday's news that the Redskins playmaker would open camp on the PUP list. That was due partly to fears over injuries, though admittedly more concussion than big toe pain. Therefore no need for any changes at least not down. Should Reed return soon, there's an outside chance he passes Travis Kelce and Greg Olsen as the No. 2 option at the position behind Rob Gronkowski, but this early injury reminder won't help squash fears of using a third or fourth pick on him.

 

  • Jacksonville running back Leonard Fournette (27) is the first rookie listed. Second? Cincinnati RB Joe Mixon (36). The Bengals have something of a crowded backfield, but the next person who tells me they're not impressed by what Mixon does on the field will be the first. 

 

  • Wide receiver Terrelle Pryor (40) is the first member of the Redskins on the list. Scan down another 41 picks for the first Baltimore player. Also a good reminder that Danny Woodhead (81) is on the Ravens.

Tier 1

1.  David Johnson, ARI RB
 
2.  Le'Veon Bell, PIT RB
 
3.  Ezekiel Elliott, DAL RB
 
4.  Antonio Brown, PIT WR
 
Tier 2

5.  Julio Jones, ATL WR
 
6.  Odell Beckham Jr., NYG WR
 
7.  LeSean McCoy, BUF RB
 
8.  Melvin Gordon, LAC RB
 
9.  Jordy Nelson, GB WR
 
10.  A.J. Green, CIN WR
 
11.  Mike Evans, TB WR
 
Tier 3

12.  Jay Ajayi, MIA RB
 
13.  Jordan Howard, CHI RB
 
14.  Devonta Freeman, ATL RB
 
15.  DeMarco Murray, TEN RB
 
16.  T.Y. Hilton, IND WR
 
17.  Michael Thomas, NO WR
 
18.  Amari Cooper, OAK WR
 
19.  Todd Gurley, LAR RB
 
20.  Rob Gronkowski, NE TE
 
21.  Dez Bryant, DAL WR
 
Tier 4

22.  Doug Baldwin, SEA WR
 
23.  Isaiah Crowell, CLE RB
 
24.  Marshawn Lynch, OAK RB
 
25.  Lamar Miller, HOU RB
 
26.  Brandin Cooks, NE WR
 
27.  Leonard Fournette, JAC RB
 
28.  Demaryius Thomas, DEN WR
 
29.  DeAndre Hopkins, HOU WR
 
30.  Sammy Watkins, BUF WR
 
Tier 5

31.  Carlos Hyde, SF RB
 
32.  Alshon Jeffery, PHI WR
 
33.  Allen Robinson, JAC WR
 
34.  Davante Adams, GB WR
 
35.  Michael Crabtree, OAK WR
 
36.  Joe Mixon, CIN RB
 
37.  Emmanuel Sanders, DEN WR
 
38.  Aaron Rodgers, GB QB
 
39.  Mark Ingram, NO RB
 
40.  Terrelle Pryor, WAS WR
 
41.  Golden Tate, DET WR
 
42.  Travis Kelce, KC TE
 
43.  Christian McCaffrey, CAR RB
 
44.  Ty Montgomery, GB RB
 
45.  Martavis Bryant, PIT WR
 
46.  Eddie Lacy, SEA RB
 
47.  Keenan Allen, LAC WR
 
48.  Jarvis Landry, MIA WR
 
49.  Tom Brady, NE QB
 
50.  Bilal Powell, NYJ RB
 
51.  Greg Olsen, CAR TE
 
52.  Jordan Reed, WAS TE
 
53.  Frank Gore, IND RB
 
54.  Larry Fitzgerald, ARI WR
 
55.  Dalvin Cook, MIN RB
 
56.  Mike Gillislee, NE RB
 
57.  Drew Brees, NO QB
 
58.  Tevin Coleman, ATL RB
 
59.  Andrew Luck, IND QB
 
60.  Tyreek Hill, KC WR
 
61.  Spencer Ware, KC RB
 
62.  Donte Moncrief, IND WR
 
63.  Willie Snead, NO WR
 
64.  Kelvin Benjamin, CAR WR
 
65.  C.J. Anderson, DEN RB
 
66.  Brandon Marshall, NYG WR
 
67.  Julian Edelman, NE WR
 
68.  Jamison Crowder, WAS WR
 
69.  LeGarrette Blount, PHI RB
 
70.  DeSean Jackson, TB WR
 
71.  Paul Perkins, NYG RB
 
72.  Stefon Diggs, MIN WR
 
73.  Ameer Abdullah, DET RB
 
74.  Matt Ryan, ATL QB
 
75.  Adrian Peterson, NO RB
 
76.  Russell Wilson, SEA QB
 
77.  Jimmy Graham, SEA TE
 
78.  Devante Parker, MIA WR
 
79.  Pierre Garcon, SF WR
 
80.  John Brown, ARI WR
 
81.  Danny Woodhead, BAL RB
 
82.  Kenny Britt, CLE WR
 
83.  Eric Decker, TEN WR
 
84.  Cam Newton, CAR QB
 
85.  Jameis Winston, TB QB
 
86.  Adam Thielen, MIN WR
 
87.  Matt Forte, NYJ RB
 
88.  Delanie Walker, TEN TE
 
89.  Kyle Rudolph, MIN TE
 
90.  Kirk Cousins, WAS QB
 
91.  Jonathan Stewart, CAR RB
 
92.  Kareem Hunt, KC RB
 
93.  Tyler Eifert, CIN TE
 
94.  Randall Cobb, GB WR
 
95.  Jeremy Maclin, BAL WR
 
96.  Quincy Enunwa, NYJ WR
 
97.  Marcus Mariota, TEN QB
 
98.  Doug Martin, TB RB
 
99.  Matthew Stafford, DET QB
 
100.  Theo Riddick, DET RB
 
101.  Mike Wallace, BAL WR
 
102.  Ben Roethlisberger, PIT QB
 
103.  Marvin Jones, DET WR
 
104.  Tyrod Taylor, BUF QB
 
105.  Robert Kelley, WAS RB
 
106.  Ted Ginn, NO WR
 
107.  Samaje Perine, WAS RB
 
108.  Tyrell Williams, LAC WR
 
109.  Cameron Meredith, CHI WR
 
110.  Derek Carr, OAK QB
 
111.  Derrick Henry, TEN RB
 
112.  Duke Johnson, CLE RB
 
113.  Corey Davis, TEN WR
 
114.  Philip Rivers, LAC QB
 
115.  Corey Coleman, CLE WR
 
116.  Jordan Matthews, PHI WR
 
117.  Dak Prescott, DAL QB
 
118.  Eric Ebron, DET TE
 
119.  Martellus Bennett, GB TE
 
120.  Darren Sproles, PHI RB
 
121.  Hunter Henry, LAC TE
 
122.  Jack Doyle, IND TE
 
123.  Jamaal Charles, DEN RB
 
124.  C.J. Prosise, SEA RB
 
125.  Rishard Matthews, TEN WR
 
126.  Terrance West, BAL RB
 
127.  Kenny Stills, MIA WR
 
128.  James White, NE RB
 
129.  Eli Manning, NYG QB
 
130.  Andy Dalton, CIN QB
 
131.  Zach Ertz, PHI TE
 
132.  Chris Thompson, WAS RB
 
133.  Sterling Shepard, NYG WR
 
134.  Giovani Bernard, CIN RB
 
135.  Shane Vereen, NYG RB
 
136.  Latavius Murray, MIN RB
 
137.  Josh Doctson, WAS WR
 
138.  Kevin White, CHI WR
 
139.  Coby Fleener, NO TE
 
140.  Will Fuller, HOU WR
 
141.  Jason Witten, DAL TE
 
142.  Marqise Lee, JAC WR
 
143.  Taylor Gabriel, ATL WR
 
144.  Robert Woods, LAR WR
 
145.  Carson Palmer, ARI QB
 
146.  Carson Wentz, PHI QB
 
147.  Blake Bortles, JAC QB
 
148.  Tavon Austin, LAR WR
 
149.  Tyler Lockett, SEA WR
 
150.  Cole Beasley, DAL WR

151.  Ryan Tannehill, MIA QB
 
152.  Cameron Brate, TB TE
 
153.  Jeremy Hill, CIN RB
 
154.  Breshad Perriman, BAL WR
 
155.  Jamaal Williams, GB RB
 
156.  J.J. Nelson, ARI WR
 
157.  Allen Hurns, JAC WR
 
158.  Joe Flacco, BAL QB
 
159.  Alvin Kamara, NO RB
 
160.  Austin Hooper, ATL TE
 
161.  Sam Bradford, MIN QB
 
162.  Julius Thomas, MIA TE
 
163.  Denver Broncos, DEN DST
 
164.  Mohamed Sanu, ATL WR
 
165.  Houston Texans, HOU DST
 
166.  Antonio Gates, LAC TE
 
167.  Kansas City Chiefs, KC DST
 
168.  C.J. Fiedorowicz, HOU TE
 
169.  Minnesota Vikings, MIN DST
 
170.  Zay Jones, BUF WR
 
171.  Seattle Seahawks, SEA DST
 
172.  Rex Burkhead, NE RB
 
173.  DeAndre Washington, OAK RB
 
174.  Charles Sims, TB RB
 
175.  Stephen Gostkowski, NE K

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Jordan Reed one of four Redskins to begin training camp on PUP list

Jordan Reed one of four Redskins to begin training camp on PUP list

RICHMOND - Jordan Reed will start Redskins training camp on the Physically Unable to Perform list. 

The team's PR informed the media that Reed is experiencing pain and soreness in one of his big toes. The move to PUP was characterized as precautionary and they want to ensure that issues don't linger into the regular season. 

DeAngelo Hall, Houston Bates, and practice squadder Kendal Thompson will join Reed on the PUP list. 

RELATED: RANKING THE REDSKINS ROSTER

For Reed, an integral part of the Redskins offense, there is a long history of injuries. In 2016, he missed time with a separated shoulder and a concussion.

Before Redskins fans freak out, remember Reed took part in minicamp and looked dominant. The PUP list also allows the Redskins to activate Reed once he's capable of practicing. 

Reed did not take part in voluntary OTAs with the Redskins in May, but was a full participant with the team at June's minicamp. 

Asked about injured players taking part in practice during Wednesday's press conference, head coach Jay Gruden opened up:

I think the injured guys are injured guys. We’re never going to change how we treat them. It’s the trainers’ job to tell us when they can go. I’m not going to keep a guy out of practice just because I think he might be injured. It’s up to the trainers and up to that player to let me know whether they can go or not. But like you said, we do have a luxury of having 88 or 87 healthy bodies where we can practice and function without somebody who is injured. That’s the trainers’ job​.

Expect much more on this development.

UPDATE: