Quick Links

Assessing the Redskins' needs on offense

Assessing the Redskins' needs on offense

Everyone knows the Redskins have plenty of personnel needs on both sides of the ball and the temptation is to say that they just need everything. And while there isn’t a position on the field where they can’t use some help, some areas are in more dire need than others.

In an attempt to quantify that, let’s put each position group on a needs meter. The scale is 1-10 and here’s the scale:

1—The depth chart at the position is completely set with players entering prime ages with market value contracts.
5—The team has enough NFL-caliber players under contract at the position but it could use quality depth and some replacement planning for aging players.
10—There are no players under contract who could reasonably be expected to start 16 games.

We’ll look at the offensive side of the ball today, the defense next week.

Offensive line—They have four of the players who started most of the year under contract plus Shaun Lauvao and Kory Lichtensteiger, who missed most of the season with injuries. The unit did well on pass blocking but run blocking left a lot to be desired. They are locked in at two positions, with Trent Williams at left tackle and Brandon Scherff at right guard, and Morgan Moses is probably set at right tackle, although if an upgrade was available in the draft Scot McCloughan might pull the trigger. They have some young depth in Arie Kouandjio and they got some good play from Ty Nsekhe, who is a low-mileage 30 years old.

Need Meter: 5 They need to upgrade a center sooner or later and add some depth as Lauvao is a question mark due to health issues.

Running back—Alfred Morris is a free agent and he is likely (although not certain) to be playing elsewhere. Matt Jones may have a chance to grab the starting job but he has a lot to learn and a lot to prove. Third-down back Chris Thompson should be recovered from shoulder surgery by the time training camp comes around but he’s not a workhorse back. Also returning from injury is Silas Redd but he has a lot to prove as well.

Need meter: 8 Even if Jones proves he can be a starting NFL back there is still a need for depth. Redd may prove to be the guy but some free agent dollars and/or a draft pick must be invested in the position.

Tight end—Jordan Reed is a star in the making if he’s not a star already and Niles Paul should be healthy enough for OTAs and work as Reed’s backup. Derek Carrier is pretty good pass catcher but blocking is not his forte as is the case with the other two.

Need meter: 6 A blocking tight end would be a great addition but as colleges go more to spread offenses that don’t utilize big-body tight ends they get tougher to find.

Wide receiver—There is plenty of discussion about Pierre Garçon and/or DeSean Jackson becoming cap casualties. Whether they are or aren’t, there is still a need to get some quality receivers in the building. Both are approaching the age of 30 and will be in the last year of their contracts. Jamison Crowder is fine in the slot. But with Andre Roberts likely to be gone the only receivers left on the roster are Ryan Grant and Rashad Ross. Close your eyes and envision them at your 2017 starters.

Need meter: 7 This is not quite as urgent as the running back position is as they should be in good shape in 2016. But with the future looking shaky some more quality depth is needed.

Quarterback—The reasonable assumption is that Kirk Cousins will be back either under the franchise tag or with a long-term deal. Then it gets iffy. Robert Griffin III will be released. The Redskins probably will want Colt McCoy back but he might want to go somewhere with a shakier quarterback situation where he has a chance to start some games. And whether he goes or stays the team will still need a developmental quarterback on the roster.

Need meter: 8 This is based on the notion the McCoy leaves for what he perceives to be greener pastures. A veteran backup who could step in if there is an emergency would be needed in addition to the developmental QB. If McCoy stays this drops down to about a 6.

Quick Links

Enemy Intel: Yes, Redskins fans, you need to root for the Cowboys again

Enemy Intel: Yes, Redskins fans, you need to root for the Cowboys again

Here is my weekly Redskins-centric spin around the NFL:

Before we get going, let’s line up the NFL wild card contenders by current seed and their remaining four games.

Giants (8-4): Cowboys, Lions, @Eagles, @Redskins
Bucs (7-5): Saints, @Cowboys, @Saints, Panthers
Redskins (6-5-1): @Eagles, Panthers, @Bears, Giants
Vikings (6-6): @Jaguars, Colts, @Packers, Bears
Packers (6-6): Seahawks, @Bears, Vikings, @Lions
Cardinals (5-6-1): @Dolphins, Saints, @Seahawks, @Rams
Saints (5-7): @Bucs, @Cardinals, Bucs, @Falcons
Eagles (5-7): Redskins, @Ravens, Giants, Cowboys

—The Redskins can knock the Eagles out of any practical chance of making the playoffs with a win on Sunday. An Eagles loss would mean they could finish no better than 8-8 and that is highly unlikely to get it done this year.

—For a second straight week, Redskins fans need to root for Cowboys to win. Or for their opponent to lose. Some wanted to make that distinction last week when Cowboys played the Vikings and the optimal outcome for the Redskins was a Dallas win. However you want to look at it, a Giants loss to Dallas could move the Redskins to within a half game of the No. 5 seed.

MORE REDSKINS: Assessing the four remainig opponents

—There should be no hesitation about pulling for the Saints to beat the Bucs. A Washington win and a Tampa Bay loss puts the Redskins back into playoff position with the No. 6 seed. The Bucs are 2.5-point favorites at home. They are the hot team, coming in with four straight wins while New Orleans has lost three of four. The Saints are on the fringe of contention but Redskins fans need to pull for the teams ahead of Washington in the standings.

—The Redskins can’t look for much help when it comes to the team immediately behind them in the standings. The Vikings visit the Jaguars, who are locked in to yet another season of double-digit losses. You might be tempted to look for the home underdog to put up a fight and they might. But Blake Bortles has thrown three pick sixes this year and the Vikings have returned two interceptions for TDs this year. Look for such a play to be decisive and for the Vikings to remain tight with Washington in the standings.

—The other team a half game behind the Redskins is the Packers. They host the Seahawks in what could be very snowy conditions in Green Bay. Seattle is a three-point favorite but if the weather gets crazy anything could happen. Redskins fans need to root for the Seahawks, for obvious reasons.

RELATED: Three Redskins out on Sunday, Reed questionable

—The Cardinals creeped back into contention with their win over the Redskins. That win and the fact that they have a tie on their ledger means that the Redskins do not want to finish with the same record as Arizona. This is one of the few situations where a tiebreaker would matter. It’s an easy call to pull for them to fall to the AFC Dolphins.

—I went 2-1 last week, winning with the Patriots over the Rams and the Seahawks over the Panthers. I have four NFL picks this week, all of them road favorites: the Redskins -1 on the road over the Eagles, the Cowboys -3 at the Giants, the Falcons -6 over the Rams in L.A., and the Seahawks giving three to the Packers.

Quick Links

Need to Know: Assessing the Redskins' four remaining opponents

Need to Know: Assessing the Redskins' four remaining opponents

Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, December 10, one day before the Washington Redskins play the Philadelphia Eagles.

Timeline

Today's schedule: No media availability

Days until: Panthers @ Redskins 9; Redskins @ Bears Christmas Eve 14; Giants @ Redskins, New Year’s Day 22

Injuries of note:
Out:
G Long (concussion), S Blackmon (concussion), DE Lanier
Limited: TE Reed (shoulder), G Scherff (ankle), DE Jean Francois (knee/foot), DE Baker (ankle), G Shawn Lauvao (groin)
Final injury report

Around Redskins Park

The Redskins have four games remaining on their schedule. Three wins would give them a record of 9-6-1 and a very good shot at the playoffs. Four will almost certainly get them a ticket to keep playing; two wins or fewer will have them needing a whole lot of help to make the postseason

Let’s take a look at the Redskins’ remaining four opponents and revisit the confidence level on the Redskins’ chances of beating each one of them. (I first did this exercise a few weeks ago).

@Eagles, 5-7, weighted DVOA via Football Outsiders, 15.3% (ranked 5th)
The Eagles looked like playoff contenders for about half of the season but they have taken a tumble back to earth, losing five of their last six. Right now the Redskins are the better team, although their long injury list is an area for concern. The Eagles appear to be in some degree of disarray after their coach accused some unnamed players of giving less than full effort. Confidence that the Redskins will win: High

Panthers, 4-8, DVOA -7.5% (25th)
They won’t be able to defend their NFC championship much longer. By the time this game comes around they could be either eliminated or on the verge of being mathematically out of the playoffs. Their problems are numerous including big issues at cornerback (too bad they didn’t have a guy who could have helped franchise tagged) and an offensive line that has been injury-wracked all year. Still, Cam Newton is a scary quarterback and he still has tight end Greg Olsen and receivers Kelvin Benjamin and Ted Ginn Jr. If the Redskins get into a shootout they could be in trouble. Confidence: Moderately high

@Bears, 3-9, DVOA -3.0%, (24th)
Matt Barkley is the Bears’ third starting QB this season and in most statistical categories he’s the worst of the three. The Bears have been hit by injuries as hard as any NFL team with multiple starters on injured reserve. They probably would have struggled even with those players healthy; without them they are one of the five worst teams in the NFL. The one thing to beware of is the late December weather in Chicago, which could randomize the outcome to an extent. Confidence: Very high

Giants, 8-4, DVOA 5.0%, (12th)
The new players on the Giants’ defense were just starting to gel when end Jason Pierre-Paul’s season ended after sports hernia surgery. Their defense, with the No. 7 DVOA (-9.6%), won’t collapse but it won’t be as strong. Eli Manning’s stats are down a tick from last year but as long as he has Odell Beckham to throw to the Giants won’t be totally stymied on offense. This one is hard to get a good feel for this far out, not knowing what might be at stake for either team. Confidence: Moderate

For comparison purposes, the 6-5-1 Redskins have a DVOA of 9.8% (10th)

Tandler on Twitter

In case you missed it