Fantasy Football: Stock watch

Fantasy Football: Stock watch

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Jake Locker, QB, Titans: He's been installed as the Tennessee starter, and he'll do two specific things that are appealing to fantasy owners: chuck the ball medium and deep, and run when the pocket breaks down. Locker's Tennessee weapons are better than you might think; all signs point to a bounce-back season from tailback Chris Johnson (a handy receiver), and the receiving corps is very deep even if Kenny Britt isn't a factor. (Nate Washington might be the most underrated wideout in the league; Kendall Wright is making a rookie splash; and Jared Cook is a steadily-improving tight end.) If you need to go with more than one quarterback at the draft table, Locker is a strong upside choice to consider.

Cedric Benson, RB, Packers: While there's little explosiveness or lateral agility left to Benson's game, the Packers don't need him to be an earth-mover in the backfield. All Green Bay wants is a ball-security back who can produce 3-4 yards and a cloud of dust every so often, with some goal-line plunges thrown in. Benson offers all that, and he's a solid depth play as your third or (preferably) fourth fantasy back in standard formats. The Packers basically used Aaron Rodgers as their goal-line back the last couple of years, but they'd prefer to shift that work (and those body shots) to someone else.

Justin Blackmon, WR, Jaguars: He didn't endear himself to the Jacksonville organization with the post-draft DUI charge, but Blackmon's game has been impressive in training camp. The first-round pick has eight grabs for 120 yards during limited exhibition play, and quarterback Blaine Gabbert looks notably improved in his second season. Once the Top 40 wideouts are gone from your draft, Blackmon looks as good as anyone. There's certainly an upside here.

Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Raiders: He's had a full training camp to get acclimated with quarterback Carson Palmer, and DHB's role could be expanding given that Denarius Moore (hamstring) and Jacoby Ford (foot) are battling injuries. Someone is likely to push 1,000 yards and 7-9 touchdowns here, and Heyward-Bey gets the best odds at the moment.

Toby Gerhart, RB, Vikings: He's the perfect lottery-ticket back to have stashed on your bench, given all the smoke around Adrian Peterson's situation. Gerhart showed surprising chops in 132 touches last year (4.9 yards per carry, 8.3 yards per catch), and every comment on Peterson this summer is couched in the most uncertain of terms. When in doubt in the NFL, bet on the chaos - or at least be prepared for it.

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Beanie Wells, RB, Cardinals: He made his preseason debut Thursday and didn't go anywhere (six carries, 12 yards), in part because Arizona's offensive line is the worst in the NFC right now. Wells is one of the most injury-plagued backs in the league, and a healthy Ryan Williams is going to push him all season. A changing of the guard is likely here, it's just a matter of when. Unless the price is peanuts on draft day, just keep Wells out of your plans.

Austin Collie, WR, Colts: He was one of our favorite sleeper targets a week or two ago, but another possible concussion has us backing off that pick. Someone is going to have a sneaky value season in the Indianapolis passing game this year, but will Collie be healthy enough to take advantage of the set-up? Go get Reggie Wayne or one of the tight ends instead.

Santonio Holmes, WR, Jets: He's now dealing with a hamstring problem along with a sore hamstring and bruised ribs. His quarterbacks aren't doing him any favors (and vice versa). If you have to take a New York wide receiver, spend a late pick on intriguing rookie Stephen Hill. There's too much downside with Holmes, given his price tag.

Matt Flynn, QB, Seahawks: He's had an up-and-down camp and the club is giving hotshot rookie Russell Wilson a chance at the job (Wilson starts this weekend in the all-important third preseason game). Even if Flynn breaks camp as the No. 1, it's doubtful he'll keep the position all year. Much like Andy Reid made Kevin Kolb in Philadelphia, it appears Flynn might be a creation of the passing laboratory in Green Bay.

Holding Steady

Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jaguars: We still think he'll end his holdout before the regular-season starts - players hate to start forfeiting game checks, and all running backs know how limited their NFL window is. If you want to worry about the effect of the holdout on MJD's season, fine, but we'll be stunned if he misses actual games. He's still a good bet to be a Top 12 fantasy back when the scores are totaled at the end of the year. You might get a silly discount on Jones-Drew this weekend.

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Prediction recap: Offense breaks through for Caps after first period

Prediction recap: Offense breaks through for Caps after first period

Both teams were held scoreless after the first period, but the Capitals broke through offensively in the last two periods of the game to beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1 on Friday.

Here’s a recap of the three bold predictions.

1. Washington will have at least 15 shots in the first period - Wrong

The Caps fired 11 shots on goal in the first period, but the point of this prediction was that the Caps would have a strong start to the game and they did. Evgeny Kuznetsov, for example, played very well and registered three shots on goal himself in the opening frame.

RELATED: Vrana's first goal proves to be the game-winner for Caps

2. The Caps will score a power play goal - Correct

Washington scored twice with the extra man, furthering the struggles of a very weak Buffalo penalty kill. The Sabres have now killed only 12 of the last 22 power plays they have faced. The Caps meanwhile have four power play goals in their last four games.

3. T.J. Oshie will register a point - Correct

Oshie was the Caps’ MVP prior to suffering an upper-body injury and in just his second game back, he already looks like he has returned to that form. He scored the first goal of the game on Friday and added an assist on Marcus Johansson’s empty-netter to boot.

MORE CAPITALS: Two-goal second period fuels Caps' win in Buffalo

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Morning tip: Wizards struggle through first quarter of season but bright spots exist

Morning tip: Wizards struggle through first quarter of season but bright spots exist

The season is 21 games old, or one-quarter complete, and the Wizards sit at 8-13 in a season full of curveballs following Thursday’s 92-85 win vs. the Denver Nuggets at Verizon Center.

This isn’t who they thought they were coming into the season after 41-41 and being out of the playoffs. President Ernie Grunfeld told CSNmidatlantic.com before the first game Oct. 27 that he expected coach Scott Brooks to produce a playoff team.

A lot has gone wrong, but some things have gone right:

--Ian Mahinmi, expected to be the anchor of the second unit because of his ability to protect the rim and play away from it in a pick-and-roll heavy league, has played just one game because of his knees. First, it was left knee surgery. Now it's tendinitis in the right one. Mahinmi will be held out of practice at least a week before he's re-evaluated, and his absence has forced Brooks to play Jason Smith likely more than he'd planned and Andrew Nicholson out of position.

--The backcourt of Trey Burke and Marcus Thornton hasn't worked, and in the former's case a second-round pick was given up to acquire him. Burke has shown recent signs of being viable with the second unit as he's more comfortable playing as a scorer rather than as a initiator of the offense. Tomas Satoransky has fallen out of the rotation though he has promise. He has to work on his jump shot to expand his game. Ultimately, he'll be the backup point guard but he was forced into duty sooner than Brooks anticipated, too. 

--The defense of John Wall and Markieff Morris hasn't been up to par for the first unit. With Wall, it's the dribble pentration that's allowed into the paint. He can defend, but gambling for steals costs him and he doesn't appear to always trust his teammates. Morris has been spectacular at times, most notably int he way he defended Paul Millsap of the Atlanta Hawks and in the first two meetings with Serge Ibaka of the Orlando Magic. Since then, he hasn't been as good and his help rotations have been slow or half-hearted. Like Wall, it's not a matter of IQ or ability. And during the game with Denver, Morris was on completely different pages during key stretches late with Gortat. Wall and Morris each have five technical fouls, an indication that frustration in games may be eroding their focus as they harp on the officiating. Each has been ejected once.

--Otto Porter is a good defender. Among the starters, he has probably been the best though Beal is trending upward. Where Porter suffers, however, is against bigger players at small forward. He lacks the physical strength to deal with the elite ones though he did show well in a win over Carmelo Anthony and the New York Knicks. Just as important, Porter's vulnerable to pick-and-roll coverages and dribble handoffs/pitches because he's not physical enough to blow up the action as Brooks would like. 

--The chemistry is off. This goes for starters to a lesser degree, but at times they look as if they're sharing the court together for the first time. Blown coverages, confusion about the play calls and not getting back in transition defense. These kinks should've been eliminated 

--Kelly Oubre has been up and down, but lately he has been on the uptick. Brooks can go with him in the lineup with Porter, making them a more formidable defensive team. Oubre is the team's best defender as long as he keeps composure.

--Wall has scored a career-high 52 points. Beal has scored a career-high 42 points. They're prospering on the court together at a level that they haven't in their previous years together.

--Sheldon McClellan is in the D-League, but he at least could be ready to defend on an NBA level. He has a ways to go on the offensive end, but when he started a game vs. the Chicago Bulls he gained the respect of Dwyane Wade.

-- Offensively, Porter has reached the next level and has been the consistent third scorer that they've been missing. 

--Brooks' temperament gives them a chance to turn things around. There have been ample opportunities for the first-year coach to blow a gasket, toss his players under the bus and label them as "soft." He hasn't done that nor will he, and the equity he could be earning with his players could pay dividends in the long run.