After spending the week trying to figure out what is in worse shape the Redskins offense or my record against the spread I called it a push. Both are in a slump. Digressing, here are the Week 11 picks:
Cowboys (minus 7) at Redskins: The Redskins have four touchdowns during their five-game losing streak and could be starting another new left guard and a rookie right tackle against DeMarcus Ware and Co. But this rivalry is almost always close the Cowboys are 1-9 against the spread their last 10 times as the favorite. Cowboys 20-14Titans (plus 6) at Falcons: Chris Johnson used the first half of the season as his personal training camp and hes finally untracked 130 yards rushing last week. The guy who should be the Redskins quarterback Matt Hasselbeck has completed passes to 12 different players. Its a biggie for Atlanta, which lost to New Orleans in overtime last week. Titans 21-20.Bills (plus 1.5) at Dolphins: Its looking like Buffalo hit its apex when it beat the Redskins a few weeks ago. Since then, the Bills have lost at home to the Jets and been hammered at Dallas. The Bills averaged 30.9 points in their first seven games, but only nine points in those defeats. Miami isnt as bad as its record. Its intriguing how the Fish are using Reggie Bush and Brandon Marshall. Dolphins 16-13.Bengals (plus 7) at Ravens: Weird scheduling as these teams not facing each other until Sunday. Baltimore is a tough nut to figure out it swept Pittsburgh but lost at Tennessee, Jacksonville and Seattle. The Ravens havent lost two straight since early in the 2009 season. Even with Ray Lewis (toe) not expected to play, it will be tough sledding for Cincy if A.J. Green (knee) cant go. Ravens 24-20.Jaguars (plus 1) at Browns: Clevelands offense has broken 17 points just once and its only win in the last six games was a 6-3 thriller over Seattle. The Brownies have just two touchdowns in the last four games. The Jags dont make many big plays (Blaine Gabbert has no completions of 25-plus yards the last four games), but theyll ride Maurice Jones-Drew against a bad Cleveland run defense. Jaguars 12-10.Raiders (minus 1) at Vikings: Forget about the Monday night blowout loss at Green Bay, the Purple are moving in the right direction it has the quarterback in place and will use a lost season to get Christian Ponder valuable experience. Oakland, meanwhile, can take the lead in the mediocre-yet-crazy AFC West. Thinking a big day for Carson Palmer against a bad Vikings secondary. Raiders 27-21.Panthers (plus 7) at Lions: Both teams are coming off blow-out losses, Carolina at home to Tennessee, Detroit on the road to Chicago. A huge game for the Lions. They have this game and then Green Bay on Thanksgiving. The division title is probably out of reach but they need to get this one to stay in the wild card hunt. Another game with two young quarterbacks (yes, I will constantly hammer this theme). Lions 14-10.Buccaneers (plus 14) at Packers: Tampa Bay is 1-4 in its last five and four of those losses have been by double digit points. At the end of last year, I thought the Buccaneers were primed to take the next step until they did nothing in free agency. And theyve brought in Big Al to finish off the train-wreck. Packers 44-21.Cardinals (plus 9.5) at 49ers: Who knew John Skelton the pride of Fordham could go on the road and lead a win against Philadelphia, although Kevin Kolb may have helped by calling out the plays from the sideline. Have to admit, I was stunned by San Fran beating the Giants. Also have to admit, getting a kick out of Carlos Rogers success. 49ers 20-17.Chargers (plus 3.5) at Bears: Usually, Norvs teams start slow and then pick it up. This year, the Bolts are choosing November as the month to swoon. Have to wonder about quarterback Philip Rivers, who already has a career-high 15 interceptions. On the other sideline is Jay Cutler, formerly turnover-prone, has only six picks. Bears 13-11.Eagles (plus 3.5) at Giants: Hard to believe the Eagles have the same record as the Redskins (3-6). And for Philadelphias Alamo Game, it will likely start Vince Young because of Michael Vicks injury. The last time we saw Young, it looked like he was rooting for the other team. The NFC East is there for the Giants to take control of. Giants 28-17.Chiefs (plus 15) at Patriots: Quarterback Tyler Palko is expected to make his first NFL start for Kansas City. Because of its schedule, New England should grab home-field in the AFC playoffs. Patriots 50-20.RecordsStraight: 6-9 last week, 86-58 season.
Spread: 5-10 last week, 58-78-6 season.
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